Download Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human Race Will by Willard Wells PDF

By Willard Wells

Any formulation for predicting human survival will invite controversy. This e-book offers a special research of the possibilities of human survivability within the brief and long-term. It develops a formulation for survival in accordance with 4 separate measures.

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Extra resources for Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive (Springer Praxis Books Popular Science)

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The earth may be soft soil, rocky, or hardpan. Thus, in advance they can only estimate labor with varying degrees of con®dence. They may estimate that a certain ditch will require 4 hours with 30% con®dence, or 8 hours at 90%. Likewise, we can only estimate the amount of poptime to consummate extinction at various degrees of con®dence. 6 BPC. 6 billion. The half-life of the human race is about 30 BPC. However, this will accrue extremely slowly after civilization collapses, which will probably happen ®rst.

Thus, in advance they can only estimate labor with varying degrees of con®dence. They may estimate that a certain ditch will require 4 hours with 30% con®dence, or 8 hours at 90%. Likewise, we can only estimate the amount of poptime to consummate extinction at various degrees of con®dence. 6 BPC. 6 billion. The half-life of the human race is about 30 BPC. However, this will accrue extremely slowly after civilization collapses, which will probably happen ®rst. If hi-tech civilization thrives long enough, there will come a window of opportunity for sending intelligent life into outer space, ultimately to colonize the solar system and possibly the galaxy.

Hence, our theory applies well to them. It also applies to plant and animal species because their survival prospects are unrelated to the longevity of their constituent organisms. Cockroaches have produced about a billion generations and counting. By contrast, Neanderthals lasted only 10,000 generations. Like the other entities, species' future prospects improve with age as they adapt to their environment and demonstrate their ability to survive changing conditions. Let us use 10% risk as a reasonable threshold for alarm.

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